It's finally the day of the Oscars! Here are my final thoughts about who should win each category vs. who is predicted to win by the New York Times and who I think will win!
Oscars 2025 Predictions
Predicted to win: Anora
Who I think will win: The Brutalist
Who I want to win: The Substance
As much as I loved Anora, I don't know if it is best picture worthy in my eyes. I think that The Brutalist had a more generic Oscar style to it which is why I think if Anora doesn't win it'll be The Brutalist. However, I would love for The Substance to win, everything about the film was perfect and it would be nice for a horror movie to win best picture.
Best Director
Predicted to win: Sean Baker (Anora)
Who I think will win: Brady Corbet (The Brutalist)
Who I want to win: James Mangold (A Complete Unknown)
Again, I loved Anora, but I think that there are other better options, and I think Brady Corbet was also heavily considered. Like James Mangold, I may be biased because I spent more time reading about his perspective on filming A Complete Unknown and I really liked what he had to say about how he went about filming a biopic.
Best Actor
Predicted to win: Adrian Brody (The Brutalist)
Who I think will win: Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown)
Who I want to win: Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice)
I think that using AI on his voice was absolutely a mistake and it hinders Adrian Brody's performance in my eyes. I think that Timothée Chalamet is going to secure the honor of youngest Oscar winner with the amount of effort he put into the role of Bob Dylan because it was an amazing performance. Though I would love to see Sebastian Stan get some recognition for his role as Donald Trump because I had a blast watching that film entirely due to how accurate Sebastian Stan's mannerisms were.
Best Actress
Predicted to win: Fernanda Torres (I’m Still Here)
Who I think will win: Demi Moore (The Substance)
Who I want to win: Mikey Madison (Anora)
Despite the prediction, I think Demi Moore is going to continue her streak (minus BAFTA) of winning awards and I will be happy with that because it's about time Demi Moore got some more recognition, especially for a role where she had a great performance. I would like to see Mikey Madison win; she had one of my favorite performances of the 2024 film year and is the reason why I do love Anora.
Best Supporting Actor
Predicted to win: Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)
Who I think will win: Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)
Who I want to win: Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)
I think that there were really good performances in this category, I agree with the general consensus on this one; that the award should go to Kieran Culkin. His character in A Real Pain made me laugh and was a complex, mysterious character and Kieran Culkin did so well that an Oscar should be inevitable. Though if Edward Norton (A Complete Unkown) or Jeremey Strong (The Apprentice) win I would be equally as happy because I really enjoyed their performances.
Best Supporting Actress
Predicted to win: Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez)
Who I think will win: Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez)
Who I want to win: Ariana Grande (Wicked)
I want Emilia Pérez to walk away empty handed, that being statistically improbable, I wouldn't be angry about Zoe Saldaña finishing her award season sweep with an Oscar, she was the best part of the film. My pick would be Ariana Grande though, which is shocking to me, but I think that her performance just went so far above the bar I had set that I can't not say that I want her to win this.
Best Original Screenplay
Predicted to win: Anora
Who I think will win: A Real Pain
Who I want to win: The Substance
All three of these films would be great winners. Anora was so much more realistic adding a pleasant, realistic twist to the Cinderella Story trope. A Real Pain strikes me as the most original which is why it's mentioned, I also think the story as a whole should be recognized on top of Kieran Culkin's acting. I would love for The Substance to win for the same reason as Best Picture and the abstract way they demonstrated a common message of films was my favorite statement made in any of these movies.
Best Adapted Screenplay
Predicted to win: Conclave
Who I think will win: Conclave
Who I want to win: A Complete Unknown
I think Conclave has the best chance of winning this category really based off its previous wins, but I'd like to see A Complete Unkown win, something about it just gives Best Adapted Screenplay.
Best Cinematography
Predicted to win: The Brutalist
Who I think will win: Dune Part Two
Who I want to win: Dune Part Two
Our of all the nominees, Dune Part Two had the best cinematography it was like the best part of the film, if you disagree, argue with a wall.
Best Original Score
Predicted to win: The Brutalist
Who I think will win: Conclave
Who I want to win: Wicked
The score of The Brutalist didn't stick out to me, Conclave's did which is why I think it might win. I'd like Wicked to get some recognition for its scores since it couldn't be nominated for Original Song
Best Song
Predicted to win: El Mal (Emilia Pérez)
Who I think will win: El Mal (Emilia Pérez)
Who I want to win: Never Too Late (Elton John) or literally anything else
If one of the Emilia Pérez songs has to win, it better be El Mal, it's the least objectionable but I legitimately want any other three to win and I don't have a preference.
Best Sound
Predicted to win: A Complete Unknown
Who I think will win: Dune Part Two
Who I want to win: Wicked
These are like my top 3 for this category. I just want Wicked to win because the sound was something that stood out to me when I watched it in the theater.
Best Editing
Predicted to win: Anora
Who I think will win: Wicked
Who I want to win: Wicked
I didn't really think Anora's editing was anything noteworthy like I do with Wicked. When I think editing for Wicked, I think of Elphaba flying at the end of the film where I think most of the editing came into play and that scene just blew me away.
Best Production Design
Predicted to win: The Brutalist
Who I think will win: Wicked
Who I want to win: Wicked
I'm SHOCKED that Dune Part Two isn't nominated but it makes my choice for winner easier. Wicked was just so detailed and so much of the design wasn't green screened that I'm in awe of how they filmed this movie.
Best Costume Design
Predicted to win: Wicked
Who I think will win: Wicked
Who I want to win: Wicked
The costumes were extravagant, colorful, and extremely detailed. I can't think of any other nominated film winning over Wicked for this.
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Predicted to win: The Substance
Who I think will win: The Substance
Who I want to win: The Substance
The Substance is the only correct answer, the makeup effects are what made the film. The horror of the film was shown through the makeup effects, and they should win hands down.
Best Visual Effects
Predicted to win: Dune Part Two
Who I think will win: Dune Part Two
Who I want to win: Wicked
I'm absolutely split on which of these two I'd rather win their visual effects are of equal quality. That being top notch quality.
I left out short films, documentaries, and animated films because I didn't have time to get to them, but I'll be prepared next awards season! Let me know who you want to win!
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